Ajeya Cotra on worldview diversification and how big the future could be | 80,000 Hours
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You wake up in a mysterious box, and hear the booming voice of God: “I just flipped a coin. If it came up heads...
Transcript Table of Contents 1 Rob’s intro [00:00:00] 2 The interview begins [00:03:23] 3 Worldview diversification [00:08:45] 4 Science and policy funding [00:23:10] 5 Fairness agreements [00:27:50] 6 Next best worldviews [00:41:05] 7 Pragmatic reasons to spread across different areas [00:47:39] 8 Effective size of the long-term future [00:57:19] 9 The doomsday argument [01:09:37] 10 The simulation argument [01:16:58] 11 AI timelines report [01:29:24] 12 Recent AI developments [01:39:28] 13 Four key probability distributions [01:46:54] 14 Most likely ways to be wrong…
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