Thinking in Predictions — LessWrong
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[This essay is my attempt to write the "predictions 101" post I wish I'd read when first encountering these ideas. It draws extensively from The Sequ…
x Thinking in Predictions — LessWrong Rationality World Modeling Frontpage 20 Thinking in Predictions by Julius 7th Dec 2025 Linkpost for thegreymatter.substack.com 9 min read 0 20 [This essay is my attempt to write the "predictions 101" post I wish I'd read when first encountering these ideas. It draws extensively from The Sequences , and will be familiar material to many LW readers. But I've found it valuable to work through these concepts in my own voice, and perhaps it will be useful for others.] Predictions are the currency of a rational mind. They force us to articulate our assumptions,
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