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The AI Arms Race Isn’t Inevitable

palladiummag.com · 2,758 words · saved by 4 readers

Early messaging about AI development presented an optimistic view for a future defined by artificial intelligence. Official releases from leading AI labs highlighted the technology’s positive uses and potential to benefit all of humanity while addressing the risks to human safety resulting from model capabilities. Over the last two years, the narratives released by those same labs and their investors have gradually changed. They increasingly framed AI development as a zero-sum game with consequences for global power dynamics, with emphasis on the need for support from the national security apparatus. The trend away from a story of cooperative progress for the good of humanity to one of existential competition between nations and values has had to do, in part, with the rapid development of AI capabilities. It’s easy to sell a vision of good when the potential for harm is distant. But these recent warnings of harm have not been about threats from better capabilities, but the harm that co

U.S. Navy/Radar dome in Japan Early messaging about AI development presented an optimistic view for a future defined by artificial intelligence. Official releases from leading AI labs highlighted the technology’s positive uses and potential to benefit all of humanity while addressing the risks to human safety resulting from model capabilities. Over the last two years, the narratives released by those same labs and their investors have gradually changed. They increasingly framed AI development as a zero-sum game with consequences for global power dynamics, with emphasis on the need for support

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