Treacherous turns in the wild
…one idea for how to ensure superintelligence safety… is that we validate the safety of a superintelligent AI empirically by observing its behavior while it is in a controlled, limited environment (a “sandbox”) and that we only let the AI out of the box if we see it behaving in a friendly, cooperative, responsible manner. The flaw in this idea is that behaving nicely while in the box is a convergent instrumental goal for friendly and unfriendly AIs alike. An unfriendly AI of sufficient intelligence realizes that its unfriendly final goals will be best realized if it behaves in a friendly manner initially, so that it will be let out of the box. It will only start behaving in a way that reveals its unfriendly nature when it no longer matters whether we find out; that is, when the AI is strong enough that human opposition is ineffectual. Some people have told me they think this is unrealistic, apparently even for a machine superintelligence far more capable than any current AI system. But
Bostrom (2014) worries about an AI “treacherous turn”: …one idea for how to ensure superintelligence safety… is that we validate the safety of a superintelligent AI empirically by observing its behavior while it is in a controlled, limited environment (a “sandbox”) and that we only let the AI out of the box if we see it behaving in a friendly, cooperative, responsible manner. The flaw in this idea is that behaving nicely while in the box is a convergent instrumental goal for friendly and unfriendly AIs alike. An unfriendly AI of sufficient intelligence realizes that its unfriendly final…
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related reading
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- The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are controlled — LessWronglesswrong.com
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- The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are controlledblog.redwoodresearch.org
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- AI Deterrence by Betrayalaibetrayal.com
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- Thoughts on the conservative assumptions in AI controlblog.redwoodresearch.org
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