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AGI Strategy: Unit 3 | Option 1: Power concentration

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A small group gains control of frontier AI systems and uses them to manipulate elections through micro-targeted disinformation, fake evidence, and synthetic media so convincing that truth becomes unknowable. They deploy AI-powered surveillance that tracks every digital interaction, predicts dissent before it emerges, and automatically suppresses opposition through economic and social levers. Within months, autonomous weapons patrol the streets, facial recognition determines access to resources, and AI advisors whisper into the ears of every official - all controlled by those who seized the models first. Democratic institutions become theatrical performances while real power flows through algorithmic systems accountable to no one. Whether it's a government using AI to become permanently unremovable, a corporation achieving regulatory capture through superintelligent lobbying, or an AI system itself accumulating power while maintaining a facade of servitude, the result is the same: the p

AGI Strategy: Unit 3 | Option 1: Power concentration AGI Strategy 1 . Racing to a Better Future Imagining a better future 55min What future do you want? 20min Steering the race to AGI 45min The characters 10min 2 . Drivers of AI Progress Technical trends driving AI progress 30min Intelligence Explosion 1h 5min Will AI progress accelerate even faster? 1h 20min 3 . Pathways to Harm Map the threat landscape 55min Prioritising threat pathways 35min Option 1: Power concentration 50min Option 2: Gradual disempowerment 1h 25min Option 3: Catastrophic pandemics 45min Option 4: Critical infrastructure

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