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Higgs: is it one-sided or two-sided? | Understanding Uncertainty

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Announcements about the Higgs Boson are invariably framed in terms of the number of sigmas, with 5-sigmas needed for a ‘discovery’. Media outlets helpfully explain what this means by translating 5-sigmas to a probability, which is almost invariably misreported as a probability of the hypothesis that it is all just statistical error e.g. “meaning that it has just a 0.00006% probability that the result is due to chance” [Nature] (see bottom of this blog for comments about the misinterpretation).

Higgs: is it one-sided or two-sided? | Understanding Uncertainty Skip to main content Main menu Home Blog Articles Videos Guest Articles Links About Us You are here Home » Blogs » david's blog Higgs: is it one-sided or two-sided? As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates . understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge . The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how proba

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