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The Incentive Architecture Export Controls Cannot Reach | Lawfare

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Tighter U.S. export controls do not weaken China’s AI incentive system. They strengthen it, by deepening the dependence that drives it.

Charles Sun Meet The Authors Subscribe to Lawfare The U.S. debate over how to respond to China's artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities contains a structural blind spot that neither side has engaged. The most commonly proposed response, tighter export controls, does not merely fail to disrupt the Chinese incentive system that drives AI capability acquisition. It strengthens that system, by deepening the resource dependence that motivates firms to align with the Chinese government's priorities in the first place. The policy tool designed to constrain capability acquisition simultaneously rei

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