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You Are Not Measuring What You Think You Are Measuring — LessWrong

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Two laws of experiment design: First, you are not measuring what you think you are measuring. Second, if you measure enough different stuff, you migh…

x You Are Not Measuring What You Think You Are Measuring — LessWrong Best of LessWrong 2022 Practice & Philosophy of Science World Modeling Curated 443 You Are Not Measuring What You Think You Are Measuring by johnswentworth 20th Sep 2022 10 min read 45 443 Eight years ago, I worked as a data scientist at a startup, and we wanted to optimize our sign-up flow. We A/B tested lots of different changes, and occasionally found something which would boost (or reduce) click-through rates by 10% or so. Then one week I was puzzling over a discrepancy in the variance of our daily signups. Eventually I s

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