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The Industrial Explosion

forethought.org · 4,294 words · saved by 1 readers

Research Updates About Careers Contact The Industrial Explosion Released on 21st May 2025 Citations Tom Davidson Rose Hadshar Authors The Industrial Explosion The industrial explosion will start after the intelligence explosion, and will proceed more slowly Three stages of industrial explosion AI-directed human labour Fully autonomous robot factories Nanotechnology How fast could an industrial explosion be? Initial speed One-time gain from AI-directed human labour Initial doubling times for autonomous robots Acceleration Maximum speed Appendices How fast could robot doubling times be initially? How fast is today’s physical capital at making more physical capital? How long would a humanoid robot take to pay for its own construction? How does this translate to the real world? How quick might robot doublings become by the time we reach the earth’s carrying capacity? This is a rough research note – we’re sharing it for feedback and to spark discussion. We’re less confident in its methods a

The Industrial Explosion Tom Davidson Rose Hadshar Authors Citations Cite Citations PDF Contact 21st May 2025 The Industrial Explosion The industrial explosion will start after the intelligence explosion, and will proceed more slowly Three stages of industrial explosion AI-directed human labour Fully autonomous robot factories Nanotechnology How fast could an industrial explosion be? Initial speed Acceleration Maximum speed Appendices How fast could robot doubling times be initially? How quick might robot doublings become by the time we reach the earth’s carrying capacity? [AI Narration] The I

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