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Self-sufficient AI - by Ajeya Cotra - Planned Obsolescence

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No, we don't "have AGI already." But in any case, we should articulate clearer milestones.

Self-sufficient AI No, we don't "have AGI already." But in any case, we should articulate clearer milestones. Ajeya Cotra Jan 06, 2026 62 15 10 Share Happy New Year! Planned Obsolescence, an occasional newsletter about AI futurism edited by Ajeya Cotra, has moved to Substack. Every so often, there’s Discourse about whether we already have artificial general intelligence (AGI). For example, Dean Ball recently claimed that Claude Opus 4.5 was basically AGI , or at least met OpenAI’s definition of AGI . Many AI x-risk people, including me , pushed back on this. OpenAI’s definition of AGI is “high

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