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Causal Inference The Mixtape - 6 Regression Discontinuity

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Over the past twenty years, interest in the regression-discontinuity design (RDD) has increased (Figure 6.1). It was not always so popular, though. The method dates back about sixty years to Donald Campbell, an educational psychologist, who wrote several studies using it, beginning with Thistlehwaite and Campbell (1960).1 In a wonderful article on the history of thought around RDD, Cook (2008) documents its social evolution. Despite Campbell’s many efforts to advocate for its usefulness and understand its properties, RDD did not catch on beyond a few doctoral students and a handful of papers here and there. Eventually, Campbell too moved on from it. To see its growing popularity, let’s look at counts of papers from Google Scholar by year that mentioned the phrase “regression discontinuity design” (see Figure 6.1).2 Thistlehwaite and Campbell (1960) had no influence on the broader community of scholars using his design, confirming what Cook (2008) wrote. The first time RDD appears in th

6 Regression Discontinuity – <span style='font-weight: 700'>Causal Inference</span><br/> <i style='color: #00b7ff'>The Mixtape</i> Causal Inference: The Mixtape. Buy the print version today: Buy from Amazon Buy from Yale Press \[ % Define terms \newcommand{\Card}{\text{Card }} \DeclareMathOperator*{\cov}{cov} \DeclareMathOperator*{\var}{var} \DeclareMathOperator{\Var}{Var\,} \DeclareMathOperator{\Cov}{Cov\,} \DeclareMathOperator{\Prob}{Prob} \newcommand{\independent}{\perp \!\!\! \perp} \DeclareMathOperator{\Post}{Post} \DeclareMathOperator{\Pre}{Pre} \DeclareMathOperator{\Mid}{\,\vert\,} \Dec

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