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Notes on Existential Risk from Artificial Superintelligence

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Earlier this year I decided to take a few weeks to figure out what I think about the existential risk from Artificial Superintelligence (ASI xrisk). It turned out to be much more difficult than I thought. After several months of reading, thinking, and talking with people, what follows is a discussion of a few observations arising during this exploration, including:

Notes on Existential Risk from Artificial Superintelligence ai xrisk display Astera Institute Sep 18, 2023 With minor revisions: Sep 28, 2023 Earlier this year I decided to take a few weeks to figure out what I think about the existential risk from Artificial Superintelligence (ASI xrisk). It turned out to be much more difficult than I thought. After several months of reading, thinking, and talking with people, what follows is a discussion of a few observations arising during this exploration, including: Three ASI xrisk persuasion paradoxes, which make it intrinsically difficult to present str

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