✳flâneur — a map of the web's best reading

Will @Austin’s ‘In defense of SBF’ have aged well? [resolves to poll] | Manifold

manifold.markets · 2,869 words · saved by 1 readers

Resolved 27%. Will this post by @Austin have aged well? https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf [link preview]Resolution On November 11, 2023 I will close this market and post a poll asking Manifold users this simple question: "Has 'In defense of SBF' by @Austin aged well?" I will leave the poll open for two weeks and then resolve this market according to the percentage of YES answers (PROB) on November 26. EDIT (11/11/23): I will calculate the proportion of YES out of the total number of YES + NO votes cast, not including ‘Results’ votes.

Will @Austin’s ‘In defense of SBF’ have aged well? [resolves to poll] | Manifold Skip to main content MANIFOLD Sign up Open options Will @Austin’s ‘In defense of SBF’ have aged well? [resolves to poll] MachiNi 29 Ṁ612 Ṁ2.2k resolved Nov 26 Resolved as 27% 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL Will this post by @ Austin have aged well? https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf In Defense of SBF Epistemic status: I may regret writing this, but will likely regret not writing this more. Key points: The FTX blowup might be a bad judgement call, not willful fraud Loyalty is good, and y’all are way over-updating

Explore this link on the map →

Will @Austin’s ‘In defense of SBF’ have aged well? [resolves to poll] | Manifold

related reading