Timothy Lantin
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on the atlas — 12
- China's demography is not destiny - by Bert Hofman1 savers
- India will become the world’s most populous country in 2023 | The Economist1 savers
- Globalization Isn’t Dead. But It’s Changing. - WSJ1 savers
- Four Thousand Weeks3 savers
- What space does to your body: Swollen heads, shrunken legs, round hearts - Washington Post1 savers
- Google Says Supreme Court Ruling Could Potentially Upend the Internet - WSJ1 savers
- US cancer death rate drops 33% since 1991, partly due to advances in treatment, early detection and less smoking, new report says | CNN1 savers
- U.S., Japan to Extend Security Cooperation to Space - WSJ1 savers
- Emmanuel Macron unveils his pension reforms | The Economist1 savers
- Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - Vox2 savers
- Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM week1 savers
- A startup says it’s begun releasing particles in the atmosphere, in an effort to tweak the climate | MIT Technology Review1 savers
highlights — 37
If China’s elderly were to have the same labour force participation as in Japan—not a very ambitious target—by 2035 some 40 million more people would be at work, about the size of the German labour market. Such a move would cut the demographic tax in half.
China's demography is not destiny - by Bert HofmanThe government faces resistance to its plans to raise the average retirement age, which at 54 is among the lowest in the world. The main pension fund may run out of money by 2035. Yet perhaps most painful for China will be the emergence of India as a superpower on its doorstep.
India will become the world’s most populous country in 2023 | The EconomistBut India’s prosperity depends on the productivity of its youthful people, which is not as high as in China. Fewer than half of adult Indians are in the workforce, compared with two-thirds in China. Chinese aged 25 and older have on average 1.5 years more schooling than Indians of the same age.
India will become the world’s most populous country in 2023 | The EconomistThe result is that China’s share of U.S. imports dropped from a peak of 22% in 2017 to less than 17% last year. Other Asian economies and Mexico are gaining share—most notably Vietnam, whose exports to the U.S. rose from less than $10 billion before 2007 to more than $120 billion in 2022. The Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand, India and Malaysia have also enjoyed rapid export growth to the U.S., while also increasing their exports to China.
Globalization Isn’t Dead. But It’s Changing. - WSJNominate in advance whole areas of life in which you won’t expect excellence from yourself.
Four Thousand WeeksYou’ll never get through all the tasks on the open list, but you were never going to in any case. The choice to leave them there is hard, but time spent on them is time not spent on the things you chose to focus on.
Four Thousand WeeksI have to die. If it is now, well then I die now; if later, then now I will take my lunch, since the hour for lunch has arrived - and dying I will tend to later. Epictetus
Four Thousand WeeksLeisure is not merely an opportunity for recovery and replenishment for the purposes of further work, but for its intrinsic satisfactions.
Four Thousand WeeksBut it will also, and always, represent something else for the human imagination, Urquieta said — its endless sweep of sequined darkness sparking our ambitions, dreams and stories. Which is why, even knowing better than most people the toll such a trip might take on him, he would go into space “in a heartbeat,” he said. “Absolutely. No question. It’s so inspiring. It’s space."
What space does to your body: Swollen heads, shrunken legs, round hearts - Washington Post“This Court should decline to adopt novel and untested theories that risk transforming today’s internet into a forced choice between overly curated mainstream sites or fringe sites flooded with objectionable content,” Google said in its brief.
Google Says Supreme Court Ruling Could Potentially Upend the Internet - WSJ“New revelations for prevention, for early detection and for treatment have resulted in true, meaningful gains in many of the 200 diseases that we call cancer,” Knudsen said.
US cancer death rate drops 33% since 1991, partly due to advances in treatment, early detection and less smoking, new report says | CNNThe US cancer death rate has fallen 33% since 1991, which corresponds to an estimated 3.8 million deaths averted, according to the report, published Thursday in CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians. The rate of lives lost to cancer continued to shrink in the most recent year for which data is available, between 2019 and 2020, by 1.5%.
US cancer death rate drops 33% since 1991, partly due to advances in treatment, early detection and less smoking, new report says | CNNthe Secure World Foundation, a U.S.-based nongovernmental group that promotes the peaceful use of outer space.
U.S., Japan to Extend Security Cooperation to Space - WSJThe U.S. has provided a similar security assurance to NATO nations, but no other Asian nations have such a security guarantee on space assets.
U.S., Japan to Extend Security Cooperation to Space - WSJOther moves include endorsing Tokyo’s decision to acquire American Tomahawk cruise missiles to give Japan the capability to strike targets on the Chinese mainland and in North Korea in the event of aggression.
U.S., Japan to Extend Security Cooperation to Space - WSJThe U.S. is expanding its security commitment to Japan into space, promising to deter attacks on the country’s satellites as part of a series of moves to be announced Wednesday to strengthen Tokyo’s defenses against China’s military buildup, U.S. officials said.
U.S., Japan to Extend Security Cooperation to Space - WSJYet France cannot afford to keep things as they are. At 60, the average age at which French men retire (for women it is 61) is the third-lowest in the oecd. Thanks to a high life expectancy, a retired man then spends an average of 23.5 years in his armchair (and a French woman 27 years), the second-longest. The share of 55- to 64-year-olds still at their desks is just 57%, compared with 74% in Germany and 65% in Britain. Indeed many firms edge out workers before retirement. The government says it will make them publish statistics on the employment of older workers, to nudge them into better be…
Emmanuel Macron unveils his pension reforms | The EconomistFully 68% of the French are against a rise in the pension age to 64, and 77% of 35- to 49-year-olds. All the country’s trade unions are against any increase in the retirement age
Emmanuel Macron unveils his pension reforms | The EconomistThe centrepiece is a raising of the legal retirement age from 62 to 64, by 2030. This measure is deeply unpopular with the French, but in line with Mr Macron’s campaign promise ahead of his re-election in April 2022.
Emmanuel Macron unveils his pension reforms | The EconomistThe decline of science has huge and wide-reaching societal implications. Disruptive papers often mean new innovations that increase productivity, improve quality of life, raise wages, and save lives. Some have speculated that much of the flattening of productivity and wages in the US is driven by the slowing of scientific innovation.
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxSaying that the science slowdown is inevitable because our predecessors already grabbed all the good ideas might blind us to the possibility that science is slowing down because we’re actively mismanaging it
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - Vox“I think because you have to publish to keep your job and keep funding agencies happy, there are a lot of (mediocre) scientific papers out there ... with not much new science presented,” wrote Kaitlyn Suski
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxIt seems entirely possible that the slowdown in science is not an inevitable natural law, but a result of policy choices. The way we hand out scientific grants is flawed, for instance. Despite the record level of funding, we know that visionaries with transformative ideas — like Katalin Karikó, who did crucial early work to invent mRNA vaccines — struggled for years to get grant money.
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxRelatedly, scientists now tend to make their important discoveries at an older age and as part of a larger team, perhaps because it requires more time and more effort to learn everything you need to know before you can even make it to the forefront of a field.
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxOne possibility is that we just found all the most disruptive ideas already. At the beginning of the 20th century, there was a lot of very basic work that hadn’t yet been done. Of course, the first person ever to study antibiotics would make far more progress than one of 1,000 researchers at a pharmaceutical company 100 years later. Think of it as the “low-hanging fruit” theory.
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxThe idea is that if a paper builds on previous work, citations of that paper will generally also cite previous work. If a paper blazes a new research direction, then citations of that paper are less likely to cite previous work. The lower the CD score, the less disruptive the research.
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxThe gap between the year of discovery and the awarding of a Nobel Prize has also increased, suggesting that today’s contributions do not measure up to the past.”
Disruptive scientific research is slowing — and threatening progress - VoxJennison’s Netschert sounded a note of caution: “M&A was the savior for the biotech sector back when there were fewer companies. When you have so many companies in the overall biotech sector, I find it hard to believe that we are going to get back to the point where everything moves because the sector is in vogue. What we will get is a parting of the seas — the haves and the have-nots.”
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM weekThe XBI index of biotech stocks finished 2022 down 27%, compared to a 20% decline in the S&P 500. It was a truly awful year overall, and one that a majority of STAT survey respondents think won’t be repeated.
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM week“Is it going to destroy small molecule innovation overnight? No, because there are things small molecules can do that biologics can’t, like cross the blood-brain barrier,” Nelsen said. But he is concerned that investment in small molecule R&D will fall over time because nine years isn’t enough time to recoup the capital needed to launch these companies and develop drugs.
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM week“Historically, biotech works when you can get generalist investors to come into the sector, Netschert added. “But today, that’s almost impossible. We are bringing super-early-stage companies to the public markets and asking a generalist to first, have a Ph.D. to understand what they do, and two, telling them that there won’t be truly telling clinical data for years, let alone revenue for decades.”
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM weekBut biotech insiders are not entirely glum. STAT’s survey shows optimism for science and innovation, with 40% telling us that R&D productivity is a positive tailwind for 2023.
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM weekVC funding, IPOs, deal volume, and stock prices are all down. Running short on cash, roughly 119 biotech companies were forced to fire employees and cut other expenses, according to FierceBiotech
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM weekJPM Week — the industry’s largest and most important business and networking meeting, which in the past has served as the venue for multibillion-dollar acquisitions, strategy sessions, and company launches
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM weekSTAT asked more than 100 biotech and pharma executives, investors, and other insiders how they’re feeling about the state of the sector heading into 2023 and on the eve of the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference in San Francisco. The biggest takeaway: Nearly 70% of respondents said financing — raising venture capital, launching an IPO, or selling additional stock to further fund R&D and other operations — will be a headwind in 2023.
Money worries plague biotech insiders ahead of JPM weekMake Sunset’s actions could set back the scientific field, reducing funding, dampening government support for trusted research, and accelerating calls to restrict studies.
A startup says it’s begun releasing particles in the atmosphere, in an effort to tweak the climate | MIT Technology ReviewThe initiative is calling for oversight of geoengineering and other climate-altering technologies, whether by governments, international accords or scientific bodies. “To go ahead with implementation at this stage is a very bad idea,” he added, comparing it to Chinese scientist He Jiankui’s decision to use CRISPR to edit the DNA of embryos while the scientific community was still debating the safety and ethics of such a step.
A startup says it’s begun releasing particles in the atmosphere, in an effort to tweak the climate | MIT Technology Review