Tang J.H. Tony
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on the atlas · 23
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highlights · 45
These developments are already spurring calls for Washington to accelerate weapons shipments to Taiwan, and for Taipei to stockpile those weapons in advance of a conflict.
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the Rocksparticularly when that defender receives critical support from outside parties
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksDoing so could induce greater restraint on the part of the United States
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksSuch signaling could involve increasing readiness levels, deploying forces, simulating operational preparations, and conducting exercises and tests.
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksBeijing could engage in what analysts have called “integrated strategic deterrence” to demonstrate its resolve and to shape the risk calculus of its opponents.
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the Rocksthey have induced caution and colored debates over how to respond. Notably, Washington postponed a planned Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile test flight following Russia’s increased alert level
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksOne of the most worrisome aspects of the war in Ukraine has been Vladimir Putin’s willingness to rattle the nuclear sabre
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the Rockserode Taiwan’s willingness and ability
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksAt a minimum, they could sharpen the political, diplomatic, and military dilemmas that would accompany any prospective U.S. intervention
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksThird, attempt to decapitate Taiwan’s political and military leadership
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksSecond, impose a blockade to physically isolate the island and raise the escalatory risk of any resupply efforts
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksChinese leaders could emphasize three courses of action from the very start: First, issue nuclear threats to keep U.S. counter-invasion
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksRussian failures and Ukrainian successes to date might incentivize China to issue threats and use force earlier to make U.S. military intervention less likely and Taiwanese capitulation more so
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the RocksAnd others have become more confident that the United States can rely on “integrated deterrence” to manage the threat of Chinese aggression
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the Rocksa model for Taiwan, and a playbook for the United States
Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the Rocks59 are attached to the Seventh Fleet,
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the Rocks114 ships currently operationally deployed across the entire globe
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the RocksChinese helicopters have buzzed Taiwan’s offshore islands
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the RocksFive missiles targeted areas within Japan’s claimed exclusive economic zone
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the RocksThis creates further potential for misperceptions, miscalculations, and mistakes,
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the Rocksa shift in the nature of U.S.-Taiwan relations that Beijing finds deeply threatening
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the Rockserosion in Sino-American relations
The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Starting - War on the RocksChina and Japan announced a new crisis communication hotline in June 2018
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict TrackerTensions between China and Japan over the contested Senkaku/Diaoyu islands continue to increase as both countries improve their military capabilities, particularly their radar and missile systems, in the region.
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict TrackerAfter Japan and China signed a four-point consensus document laying out their differences concerning the disputed islands, bilateral discussions resumed in early 2015
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict Trackertensions peaked in 2013 after China declared the establishment of an air defense identification zone
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict Trackerbut that space overlaps because the sea separating China and Japan only spans three hundred and sixty nautical miles.
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict Trackerexclusive economic zone (EEZ) of two hundred nautical miles from its coast
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict TrackerChina began to reassert claims over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands in the 1970s
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict TrackerThe Senkaku/Diaoyu islands were formally claimed by Japan in 1895
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict TrackerIn April 2014, President Barack Obama became the first U.S. president to explicitly state that the disputed islands are covered by the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty
Tensions in the East China Sea | Global Conflict Trackerbalancing between both sides of the conflict to the benefit of Turkey,
How Much Multipolarity Does a Strongman Need?: Why Erdogan Has Benefited From Russia’s Failure in Ukraine - War on the Rockscondemned the West’s provocative approach to Russia
How Much Multipolarity Does a Strongman Need?: Why Erdogan Has Benefited From Russia’s Failure in Ukraine - War on the RocksTurkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan repeatedly threatened to invade Greece
How Much Multipolarity Does a Strongman Need?: Why Erdogan Has Benefited From Russia’s Failure in Ukraine - War on the Rocksmanpower challenges on both sides
Into the Breach: Ukraine’s Counter-Offensive Begins - War on the RocksThe main focus of this episode is the southern counter-offensive launched by Ukrainian forces
Into the Breach: Ukraine’s Counter-Offensive Begins - War on the RocksPakistan will struggle to feed itself and the countries that depend on its food exports
Pakistan: Flood Crisis Could Become a Food Crisisanother disaster with direct global implications looms
Pakistan: Flood Crisis Could Become a Food CrisisMore than a dozen countries have pledged assistance
Pakistan: Flood Crisis Could Become a Food CrisisPakistan continues to suffer from catastrophic flooding. Around one-third of the country remains underwater
Pakistan: Flood Crisis Could Become a Food CrisisPakistan’s ongoing flood crisis could intensify food insecurity
Pakistan: Flood Crisis Could Become a Food Crisismore than thirty thousand active-duty personnel and veterans of the post-9/11 wars have died by suicide
Afghanistan veterans’ sacrifices were not made in vain - Atlantic Councilrestoring hope and trust in the future.
Afghanistan veterans’ sacrifices were not made in vain - Atlantic CouncilI shared how Afghanistan has changed since US intervention
Afghanistan veterans’ sacrifices were not made in vain - Atlantic CouncilPresident Joe Biden affirmed with Prime Minister Boris Johnson a relationship without equal anywhere in the world
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