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on the atlas — 8
- Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukraine - War on the Rocks2 savers
- Wargaming a Long War: Ukraine Fights On - Modern War Institute1 savers
- Facebook1 savers
- The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The Diplomat1 savers
- 大敵當前 該拿「不想打仗」的人怎麼辦？ -- 上報 / 評論1 savers
- Metaverse 漫遊指南（下）：別慌張，元宇宙還沒到 - Manny Li1 savers
- Metaverse 漫遊指南（上）：歡迎來到元宇宙 - Manny Li1 savers
- Bad Idea: Deterrence by Detection | Defense3601 savers
highlights — 16
throughout the wargame, the economic sanctions imposed upon Russia were a constant backdrop to all else going on. If Russia remains cut off from capital markets, its energy industry sanctioned, and the country’s institutions removed from SWIFT, rapid economic collapse is likely. In that case, Russia will be unable to sustain the likely year-long conflict simulated in the wargame.
Wargaming a Long War: Ukraine Fights On - Modern War InstituteUltimately, both sides lack the forces to achieve their ideal outcomes. Without a political compromise, we predicted the military aspects of this conflict will be characterized by stalemate, limited advances, high casualties, and massive equipment attrition on both sides over the next twelve months.
Wargaming a Long War: Ukraine Fights On - Modern War Institute當高畑勲帶領團隊開始製作《螢火蟲之墓》時，某天他突然意識到，這些圍繞著他的助手與工作人員們，他們都沒有經歷過戰爭，真正看過燒夷彈將人體融化的噁心景象的人，只有他了——他更加體悟到《螢火蟲之墓》要為後世留下紀錄的重要性。 . 《螢火蟲之墓》是紀錄戰爭的電影，但高畑勲認為，這部電影無法引起觀眾對反戰的省思，說到底，人類不會因為清太與節子這對兄妹的悲慘遭遇，而就此對戰爭產生反感。 . 反過來，有能力發動戰爭的人，會告訴人民，「就是為了不要讓人民淪落到《螢火蟲之墓》那樣的下場，所以必須發動戰爭」。如今我們會在新聞報導裡，看到更慘烈的戰爭慘況，這些畫面不斷地在世界各地上演，武裝侵略卻同樣繼續發生。《螢火蟲之墓》充其量，對太平盛世的觀眾來說，只是一場刺激淚腺的戰爭演習罷了。
FacebookTaiwan’s production capacity for the Hsiung Feng III anti-ship cruise missile is estimated to be roughly 20 per year. This figure will not increase until mid-2022 when the National Chung-Shan Institute of Science and Technology opens new production facilities.
The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The DiplomatWhat the KMT and Weng might be suggesting was that the Taiwan military would have to step up for “non-porcupine” missions, such as SLOC protection and sea control, should the United States decide not to intervene. If Taiwan adhered to the porcupine strategy and the U.S. decided not to intervene in a conflict, Taiwan would be forced to fight near or inside the island with little buffer.
The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The DiplomatPerhaps the root of KMT’s concern over building an asymmetric defense posture is their lack of confidence in U.S. willingness to intervene militarily if China invaded Taiwan.
The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The DiplomatFor the second time during her presidency, Tsai Ing-wen used the special budget to accelerate the modernization of the military. Notably, in this US$8.6 billion budget, about 34 percent and 18 percent were allocated for indigenous anti-ship cruise missiles and ground-based air defense missiles, respectively. As for the ship-building program, Tsai decided to prioritize the 500-ton Tuo Chiang-class corvettes (which received about 29 percent of the special budget) instead of larger platforms. As to the FY2022 regular defense budget, about 20 percent was invested in the Harpoon ground-based anti-s…
The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The DiplomatThe military establishment’s opposition to “sea denial” is fairly similar to the position of the KMT.
The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The DiplomatHuang viewed Taiwan as a maritime country whose main interests extend beyond its land mass. He argued that the Taiwan military should not solely prioritize defending against an amphibious invasion, but also possess the capabilities to respond to gray-zone threats by the Chinese military and to protect sea lines of communications (SLOCs).
The KMT’s Defense Policy: Toward a Symmetric Posture – The Diplomat楊靜瑟局長所要面對的問題包括： 一、如何重振對中諜員情報？ 二、如何重塑軍情局的公眾形象？ 三、如何在徵才、留才上做出更多努力？ 四、如何改革軍情局的結構？
大敵當前 該拿「不想打仗」的人怎麼辦？ -- 上報 / 評論建立以「事實」為基礎的心戰策略，有以下關鍵條件：首先，公開揭露的根基在於戰時具備穩定的網路軟硬體傳輸設備與平台，以及精準鎖定受眾的媒體使用習慣與管道，例如「尋找」網站隨後被俄羅斯封鎖，但在俄羅斯民眾常用的Telegram上，群組仍持續傳遞訊息；其次，如實陳述由政府部會合作所支撐，例如此次由烏克蘭內政部取得戰場實況資料，並經國防部與外交部發言接續發揮效應；再者，即時整合有賴民間力量的配合，在公私協力下，充分獲得人員和技術的支援，掌握戰場的動態資訊。
大敵當前 該拿「不想打仗」的人怎麼辦？ -- 上報 / 評論以往國家的心戰操作，大多著重「國家」或「民族」等意識形態的層面，例如普京強調「大俄羅斯」、「大斯拉夫」的民族主義論述。此次烏克蘭則以「家人」的親情，連結俄羅斯與國際社會
大敵當前 該拿「不想打仗」的人怎麼辦？ -- 上報 / 評論烏克蘭這套以「事實」為基礎的心戰策略有以下特點：一是公開的揭露。烏克蘭除架設主題網站，並根據俄烏民眾閱聽習慣與作戰需求，透過具影像（YouTube）與通訊（Telegram）特性的社群媒體傳播；二是如實的陳述。該網站與社群媒體以發布俄軍證件照片、戰俘自述影片等無修飾、無剪輯的客觀資料為主，烏克蘭並稱上傳內容經嚴格查核；三是即時的整合。烏克蘭強調平台訊息將不斷更新，並提供專線與專用信箱以供俄軍家屬即時查詢，反映其資訊整合的數位能力。
大敵當前 該拿「不想打仗」的人怎麼辦？ -- 上報 / 評論Deterrence by detection assumes that detection is enough. It rests on the concept that the resultant naming and shaming by the international community will cow our adversaries into docility. It will not.
Bad Idea: Deterrence by Detection | Defense360Exquisite classified collection is fragile, and unveiling the capability may only result in denials by the adversary in question and a subsequent loss of collection. Conversely, if commercial collection is available and usable, adversaries tend to shrug off the evidence as manipulated or fake.
Bad Idea: Deterrence by Detection | Defense360it fails to recognize the likelihood that the surveilling state would likely be labeled the aggressor in such a scenario.
Bad Idea: Deterrence by Detection | Defense360