probability-of-causation-interpretation-and-identification.pdf
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Come and let us cast lots to find out who is to blame for this ordeal. Jonah 1:7 Preface Assessing the likelihood that one event was the cause of another guides much of what we understand about (and how we act in) the world. For example, according to common judicial standard, judgment in favor of the plaintiff should be made if and only if it is “more probable than not” that the defendant's action was the cause of the plaintiff's damage (or death). But causation has two faces, necessary and sufficient; which of the two have lawmakers meant us to consider? And how are we to evaluate their…
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