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Latin America's Election Super-Cycle Will Turn on One Key Factor

americasquarterly.org · 1,792 words · saved by 1 readers

This article is adapted from AQ’s special report on Latin America’s election super-cycle | Lea este artículo en español aquí | In Latin America’s 2024 electoral super-cycle, voters seem likely to reward leaders who address their most fundamental needs—in some cases regardless of whether they value democracy, clean government or the rule of law. That is a notable shift, following several years in which a “throw the bums out” anti-incumbent sentiment was the prevailing trend in the region. As readers of AQ know well, 20 of the last 22 free and fair presidential elections in Latin America dating back to 2018 have been won by the opposition, as voters lashed out against stagnant living standards, corruption and a surge in organized crime. But that trend could change this year, thanks to leaders who have enjoyed some measure of success—even if it has come at a cost. Indeed, in El Salvador, Nayib Bukele is poised for reelection due to his security policies—which have contributed to a reducti

Reading Time: 7 minutes This article is adapted from AQ ’ s special report on Latin America’s election super-cycle | Lea este artículo en español aquí | In Latin America’s 2024 electoral super-cycle, voters seem likely to reward leaders who address their most fundamental needs—in some cases regardless of whether they value democracy, clean government or the rule of law. That is a notable shift, following several years in which a “throw the bums out” anti-incumbent sentiment was the prevailing trend in the region. As readers of AQ know well, 20 of the last 22 free and fair presidential election

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