I swear the UFO is coming any minute - by Adam Mastroianni

Links 'n' updates

photo cred: my dad This is the quarterly links ‘n’ updates post, a selection of things I’ve been reading and doing for the past few months. First up, a series of unfortunate events in science: When Prophecy Fails is supposed to be a classic case study of cognitive dissonance: a UFO cult predicts an apocalypse, and when the world doesn’t end, they double down and start proselytizing even harder: “I swear the UFO is coming any minute!” A new paper finds a different story in the archives of the lead author, Leon Festinger. Up to half of the attendees at cult meetings may have been…

related reading

• [REPOST] Epistemic Learned Helplessness | Slate Star Codexslatestarcodex.com
• Why Facts Don’t Change Our Minds | The New Yorkernewyorker.com
• Lizardman’s Constant Is 4%slatestarcodex.com
• The Hour I First Believed | Slate Star Codexslatestarcodex.com
• Crony Beliefs | Melting Asphaltmeltingasphalt.com
• Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) — LessWronglesswrong.com
• Thoughts for Curious Rabbit-holers Like Me [Live Post]blog.aayushg.com
• New paradigm for psychology just droppedexperimental-history.com
• The Control Group Is Out Of Controlslatestarcodex.com
• You're probably wrong about how things have changedexperimental-history.com
• Links For Octoberastralcodexten.substack.com
• Lies, Damn Lies, and Fabricated Options — LessWronglesswrong.com