Predicting AI’s Impact on Jobs - by Julian Jacobs

A discussion with economist Sam Manning

Source: Gemini AI doing human jobs: It’s a vision that thrills some, terrifies others. Yet visions alone will not suffice. The world needs data-based evidence, as only a few economists have yet attempted. Among the most prominent is Sam Manning. Back in 2020, Sam realized that vast technological change was coming, and that it would affect much of what he cared about, from employment and poverty, to income inequality and global health. So he devoted himself to using economics to better estimate that future, studying future impacts with OpenAI from 2021 to 2024, then in his current role as…

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