How much do you believe your results? - LessWrong

Thanks to Drake Thomas for feedback. • I. …

x How much do you believe your results? — LessWrong Best of LessWrong 2023 Goodhart's Law Probability & Statistics Epistemology Has Diagram Rationality World Modeling Curated 527 How much do you believe your results? by Eric Neyman 6th May 2023 Linkpost for ericneyman.wordpress.com 18 min read 19 527 Thanks to Drake Thomas for feedback. I. Here’s a fun scatter plot. It has two thousand points, which I generated as follows: first, I drew two thousand x-values from a normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. Then, I chose the y-value of each point by taking the x-value and then a

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