When will computer hardware match the human brain? by Hans Moravec
Hans Moravec argues that computers will soon outperform human intellects. 'The visceral sense of a thinking presence in machinery will become increasingly widespread.'
Journal of Evolution and Technology. 1998. Vol. 1 - PDF Version (Received Dec. 1997) Hans Moravec Robotics Institute Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890, USA net: hpm@cmu.edu web: http://www.frc.ri.cmu.edu/~hpm/ ABSTRACT This paper describes how the performance of AI machines tends to improve at the same pace that AI researchers get access to faster hardware. The processing power and memory capacity necessary to match general intellectual performance of the human brain are estimated. Based on extrapolation of past trends and on examination of technologies under…
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