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Rumsfeld Matrix

theuncertaintyproject.org · 840 words · saved by 1 readers

Categorizes information into known knowns, known unknowns, unknown knowns, and unknown unknowns, helping navigate uncertainty and uncover risks

In 2002, during a press briefing about the Iraq War, Donald Rumsfeld famously divided information into four categories: known knowns, known unknowns, unknown knowns, and unknown unknowns. These distinctions became the basis for the Rumsfeld Matrix, a decision-making framework that maps and evaluates the various degrees of certainty and uncertainty. The four quadrants of the Rumsfeld Matrix Known knowns: These are facts or variables that we're aware of and understand. They form the basis of our knowledge and provide a solid foundation for decision making. Known unknowns: These are factors…

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