Rumsfeld Matrix
theuncertaintyproject.org · 840 words · saved by 1 readers
Categorizes information into known knowns, known unknowns, unknown knowns, and unknown unknowns, helping navigate uncertainty and uncover risks
In 2002, during a press briefing about the Iraq War, Donald Rumsfeld famously divided information into four categories: known knowns, known unknowns, unknown knowns, and unknown unknowns. These distinctions became the basis for the Rumsfeld Matrix, a decision-making framework that maps and evaluates the various degrees of certainty and uncertainty. The four quadrants of the Rumsfeld Matrix Known knowns: These are facts or variables that we're aware of and understand. They form the basis of our knowledge and provide a solid foundation for decision making. Known unknowns: These are factors…
saved by
related reading
- Uncertainty Matrix: How To Deal With Uncertainty (And Gain From It)fronterablog.com
- Knightian uncertaintyen.wikipedia.org
- Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (~100 Models Explained)fs.blog
- The Decision Matrix: How to Prioritize What Mattersfs.blog
- How to Make Smart Decisions Without Getting Lucky - Farnam Streetfs.blog
- Reversible and Irreversible Decisionsfs.blog
- Know your unknowns — examplesthariqs.github.io
- Cynefin framework - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
- Fox_Ulkumen.pdfstat.berkeley.edu
- The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Unsupervised Machine Learning with Splunk: the cluster command | by Alex Teixeira | Detect FYIdetect.fyi
- Strategic Tastejason.ml