Decision Theory Research Overview – The Universe from an Intentional Stance
This page is an overview of the decision theory research we (Johannes Treutlein and Caspar Oesterheld) do. In particular, we discuss the decision theory of Newcomb-like scenarios and whether eviden…
This page is an overview of the decision theory research we (Johannes Treutlein and Caspar Oesterheld) do. In particular, we discuss the decision theory of Newcomb-like scenarios and whether evidential decision theory is correct and if not, whether and how it can be fixed. A short summary of our views Overall, we think EDT gets almost everything right: “Reference class” Newcomb-like problems: One should cooperate in a prisoner’s dilemma against a copy and one-box in Newcomb’s problem. “Common cause” or medical Newcomb-like problems: We think EDT gets medical Newcomb problems, such as the…
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related reading
- Approval-directed agency and the decision theory of Newcomb-like problemslink.springer.com
- UDT shows that decision theory is more puzzling than ever — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Evidential Cooperation in Large Worlds: Potential Objections & FAQ — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Martin Soto - Constructing Logically Updateless Decision Theory - PIBBSS Symposium '23youtube.com
- Updatelessness doesn't solve most problems — LessWronglesswrong.com
- TechnicalAgenda.pdfintelligence.org
- Open-minded updatelessness — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Reinforcement Learning in Newcomblike Problemsproceedings.neurips.cc
- Multiverse-wide cooperation in a nutshell — EA Forumforum.effectivealtruism.org
- Multiverse-wide Cooperation via Correlated Decision Making – Center on Long-Term Risklongtermrisk.org
- On Functional Decision Theory :: Wolfgang Schwarzumsu.de
- Evidential decision theory - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org