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Tesla, BYD, and Xiaomi Are Playing Different Games

gilpignol.substack.com · 2,945 words · saved by 1 readers

Why Western automakers face irrelevance by 2030

BYD officially dethroned Tesla as the world’s largest electric vehicle manufacturer in 2025, delivering 2.26 million battery-electric vehicles versus Tesla’s 1.64 million, a gap exceeding 600,000 vehicles.[1][2][3] But while analysts dissect Tesla’s brand crisis and BYD’s scale advantages, a smartphone company’s meteoric rise may prove more consequential for the global auto industry’s future. Xiaomi went from zero vehicles to profitability in just 18 months, achieving what took Tesla a decade. This isn’t merely a reshuffling of market rankings; it signals a fundamental transformation in how…

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