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The "Messy Middle" - by Molly Kinder

substack.com · 4,179 words · saved by 3 readers

Why the years between today and post-AGI abundance will be the hardest political and economic problem of our generation, and why we can’t skip past them

Adapted from a memo I sent to Dwarkesh Patel. In the last few weeks, I have talked with two people whose lives are leading indicators of where the American economy could be heading. One was a senior USAID official, nearly fifty, suddenly unemployed after her agency was demolished, looking at a sixty percent pay cut to start over as a teacher. The other was a sixty-something semiconductor engineer driving my Uber to Menlo Park, five years from retirement, earning a fraction of what he used to, and watching Waymo come for the job he took as a fallback. Neither of them was displaced by AI…

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