Hyperbolic discounting — The irrational behavior that might be rational after all · Chris Said
When I was in grad school I occasionally overheard people talk about how humans do something called “hyperbolic discounting”. Apparently, hyperbolic discounting was considered irrational under standard economic theory. I recently decided to learn what hyperbolic discounting was all about, so I set out to write this blog post. I have to admit that hyperbolic discounting has been pretty hard for me to understand, but I think I now finally have a good enough handle on it to write about it. Along the way, I learned something interesting: Hyperbolic discounting might be rational after all. If I offered you $50 now or $100 in 6 months, which would you pick? It’s not crazy to choose the $50 now. One reason is that it’s a safer bet. If you had chosen the delayed $100, there’s a risk that I might forget about the deal when the time came to pay [personal note: I wouldn’t], and you would never get your money. Another reason is that if you invest the $50 now, you might be able to make up some of t
Hyperbolic discounting — The irrational behavior that might be rational after all · Chris Said --> Chris Said I am a data scientist at Propel. This blog is mostly about statistics, technology, and science. Hyperbolic discounting — The irrational behavior that might be rational after all 04 Feb 2018 When I was in grad school I occasionally overheard people talk about how humans do something called “hyperbolic discounting”. Apparently, hyperbolic discounting was considered irrational under standard economic theory. I recently decided to learn what hyperbolic discounting was all about, so
related reading
- Hyperbolic discounting - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
- Hyperbolic discounting - The Decision Labthedecisionlab.com
- Be less scared of overconfidence | benkuhn.netbenkuhn.net
- Akrasia, hyperbolic discounting, and picoeconomics — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Temporal discounting - EA Forumforum.effectivealtruism.org
- Be less scared of overconfidence — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Infirationalitykokospotlights.me
- Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) — LessWronglesswrong.com
- Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People — LessWronglesswrong.com
- An Intuitive Guide To Exponential Functions & e – BetterExplainedbetterexplained.com
- Bayesian Mindsetcold-takes.com
- Superrationality - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org