Scoring rule
In decision theory, a scoring rule provides a summary measure for the evaluation of probabilistic predictions or forecasts. It is applicable to tasks in which predictions assign probabilities to events, i.e. one issues a probability distribution
Scoring rule - Wikipedia Jump to content From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Measure for evaluating probabilistic forecasts Not to be confused with Score voting . Visualization of the expected score under various predictions from some common scoring functions. Dashed black line: forecaster's true belief, red: linear, orange: spherical, purple: quadratic, green: log. In decision theory , both a scoring rule [ 1 ] as well as a scoring function [ 2 ] provide an ex post summary measure for the evaluation of the quality of a prediction or forecast. They assign a numeric score to a single predicti
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