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Humans do acausal coordination all the time — LessWrong

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I used to think that acausal coordination was a weird thing that AI’s might do in the future, but that they certainly wouldn’t learn from looking at human behavior. I don’t believe that anymore, and think there are lots of examples of acausal coordination in everyday life. The political science argument against voting goes: The probability that my vote tilts the election is tiny, so the expected value to me is tiny, so it’s not worth my time to vote. And the standard rebuttal to this is: If everyone thought that way democracy would fall apart, so I should vote. More precisely, I expect that the people who justify voting on these grounds are doing the following reasoning: I’m like the people who share my views in my tendency to vote. That means that there is a correlation between my decision to vote (or not) and the tendency of other people in my coalition to vote (or not). Lots of people who share my views vote, enough to make our collective vote worth my while. So I should vote, so th

x Humans do acausal coordination all the time — LessWrong Acausal Trade Decision theory Timeless Decision Theory World Modeling Frontpage 57 Humans do acausal coordination all the time by Adam Jermyn 2nd Nov 2022 AI Alignment Forum 3 min read 35 57 Ω 21 I used to think that acausal coordination was a weird thing that AI’s might do in the future, but that they certainly wouldn’t learn from looking at human behavior. I don’t believe that anymore, and think there are lots of examples of acausal coordination in everyday life. Examples people do Voting The political science argument against voting

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