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Can Govt Debt Solve Fertility? - by Robin Hanson

overcomingbias.com · 955 words · saved by 1 readers

The last month has greatly change what I see as the default future.

Can Govt Debt Solve Fertility? Robin Hanson Sep 22, 2023 55 78 4 Share The last month has greatly change what I see as the default future. Instead of seeing the last few centuries of exponential world growth continuing until a new much faster growth mode appears within a century or two, my default is now darker. The economy declines after population peaks in roughly thirty years, and innovation then grinds to a halt, with the economy not rising again until world population is dominated by Amish- like insular religious high fertility communities. Innovation doesn’t appear again until that new e

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