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Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awareness" — LessWrong

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My take on Leopold Aschenbrenner's new report: I think Leopold gets it right on a bunch of important counts. Three that I especially care about: I especially appreciate that the report seems to get it when it comes to our basic strategic situation: it gets that we may only be a few years away from a truly world-threatening technology, and it speaks very candidly about the implications of this, rather than soft-pedaling it to the degree that public writings on this topic almost always do. I think that's a valuable contribution all on its own. Crucially, however, I think Leopold gets the wrong answer on the question "is alignment tractable?". That is: OK, we're on track to build vastly smarter-than-human AI systems in the next decade or two. How realistic is it to think that we can control such systems? Leopold acknowledges that we currently only have guesswork and half-baked ideas on the technical side, that this field is extremely young, that many aspects of the problem look impossibly

x Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awareness" — LessWrong AI Governance AI Risk AI Frontpage 197 Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awareness" by Rob Bensinger 6th Jun 2024 4 min read 27 197 ( Cross-posted from Twitter. ) My take on Leopold Aschenbrenner's new report : I think Leopold gets it right on a bunch of important counts. Three that I especially care about: Full AGI and ASI soon . (I think his arguments for this have a lot of holes , but he gets the basic point that superintelligence looks 5 or 15 years off rather than 50+.) This technology is an overwhelmingly huge deal,

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