Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Harry withdrew the bag, then plunged it again into the mokeskin pouch. He took out his hand, put it back in, and said, "Bag of tokens of economic exchange." That time his hand came out empty. "Give me back the bag that I just put in." Out came the bag of gold once more. Harry James Potter-Evans-Verres had gotten his hands on at least one magical item. Why wait? "Professor McGonagall," Harry said to the bemused witch strolling beside him, "can you give me two words, one word for gold, and one word for something else that isn't money, in a language that I wouldn't know? But don't tell me which is which." "Ahava and zahav," said Professor McGonagall. "That's Hebrew, and the other word means love." "Thank you, Professor. Bag of ahava." Empty. "Bag of zahav." And it popped up into his hand. "Zahav is gold?" Harry questioned, and Professor McGonagall nodded. Harry thought over his collected experimental data. It was only the most crude and preliminary sort of effort, but it was enough to sup
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy Contents Author’s Notes Science Fan Art More Info Center for Applied Rationality Update Notifications Email Address << Prev Home Chapter 1: A Day of Very Low Probability Chapter 2: Everything I Believe Is False Chapter 3: Comparing Reality To Its Alternatives Chapter 4: The Efficient Market Hypothesis Chapter 5: The Fundamental Attribution Error Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy Chapter 7: Reciprocation Chapter 8: Positive Bias Chapter 9: Title Redacted, Part I Chapter 10: Self Awareness, Part II Chapter 11: Omake
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