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Interviewing is a noisy prediction problem · Erik Bernhardsson

erikbern.com · 3,412 words · saved by 1 readers

I have done roughly 2,000 interviews in my life. When I started recruiting, I had so much confidence in my ability to assess people. Let me just throw a couple of algorithm questions at a candidate and then I'll tell you if they are good or not! Over time I've come to the (slightly disappointing) realization that knowing who's going to be good at their job is an extremely hard problem.

Interviewing is a noisy prediction problem 2018-05-02 I have done roughly 2,000 interviews in my life. When I started recruiting, I had so much confidence in my ability to assess people. Let me just throw a couple of algorithm questions at a candidate and then I'll tell you if they are good or not! Over time I've come to the (slightly disappointing) realization that knowing who's going to be good at their job is an extremely hard problem. The correlation between who did really well in the interview process and who performs really well at work is really weak. Confronted by this observation I've

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