Determinants of emissions pathways in the coupled climate–social system | Nature

A stylized model of the climate–social system could help to understand policy and emissions futures.

Subjects Climate change Environmental social sciences Socioeconomic scenarios Abstract The ambition and effectiveness of climate policies will be essential in determining greenhouse gas emissions and, as a consequence, the scale of climate change impacts 1 , 2 . However, the socio-politico-technical processes that will determine climate policy and emissions trajectories are treated as exogenous in almost all climate change modelling 3 , 4 . Here we identify relevant feedback processes documented across a range of disciplines and connect them in a stylized model of the climate–social system. An

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