Geoffrey Hinton on X: "@ESYudkowsky LeCun p(doom) = 0.001; Yudkowsky p(doom) = .999; Ensemble p(doom) = 0.5;" / Twitter
To view keyboard shortcuts, press question mark View keyboard shortcuts Home Notifications Chat Profile More Tweet abhayesian @abhayesian Tweet Reply See new posts Conversation Eliezer Yudkowsky @ESYudkowsky · Jun 14, 2024 You try to explain how airplane fuel can melt a skyscraper, but your calculation doesn't include relativistic effects, and then the 9/11 conspiracy theorists spend the next 10 years talking about how you deny relativity. Similarly: A paperclip maximizer is not "monomoniacally" Show more 83 73 544 Geoffrey Hinton @geoffreyhinton LeCun p(doom) = 0.001; Yudkowsky p(doom) = .999; Ensemble p(doom) = 0.5; 10:47 AM · Jun 15, 2024 ·Twitter Web App 4 Quote Tweets 11 Retweets 24 15 209 26 Tweet your reply Reply Eliezer Yudkowsky @ESYudkowsky · Jun 15, 2024 I'm reluctant to force my brain to spit out numbers -- I don't have practice calibrating on possibilities as weird and complicated as Earth surviving a scenario that looks this bad -- but I'm not as low as 0.001 surviv
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