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Licklider 1960

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I love reading technology prediction documents because the benefit of hindsight is training data for the future prediction task. For example, one of my all-time favorites of this genre is "Profiles of the Future" by Arthur C. Clarke. This post is some of my notes on "Man-Computer Symbiosis" by Licklider 1960 (64 years ago!) where Licklider imagines computing as a fundamentally intelligence amplification tool. Here, Licklider argues that the period of "intelligence augmentation" (IA) may be transient on the path to full automation (AI), but still long enough to be worth thinking through and about. His citations for what must have felt like rapid progress in both narrow AI and AGI (of that age, i.e. the "general problem solver" [20]) are today known to be false starts that were off track in a quite fundamental way, at that time based on a manual process of encoding knowledge with predicate logic and using production rules of logic and search to manipulate them into conclusions. Today, mo

Licklider 1960 Andrej Karpathy blog #3 Licklider 1960 Dec 27 2023 I love reading technology prediction documents because the benefit of hindsight is training data for the future prediction task. For example, one of my all-time favorites of this genre is "Profiles of the Future" by Arthur C. Clarke. This post is some of my notes on "Man-Computer Symbiosis" by Licklider 1960 (64 years ago!) where Licklider imagines computing as a fundamentally intelligence amplification tool. Here, Licklider argues that the period of "intelligence augmentation" (IA) may be transient on the path to full automatio

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