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Epistemics and institutional decision-making - 80,000 Hours

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Our institutions and decision-making processes look pretty similar to those that failed in the first and second world wars, and yet the worst-case scenarios they need to mitigate are several orders of magnitude larger.

Improving decision making in key institutions | 80,000 Hours Search for: On this page: Introduction 1 What is this issue? 2 What parts of the problem seem most promising to work on? 2.1 Forecasting 2.2 Prediction aggregators and prediction markets 2.3 Decision-making science 2.4 Improving corporate governance at key private institutions 2.5 Improving how governments work 3 What are the major arguments against improving decision making being a pressing issue? 3.1 It’s unclear what the best interventions are — and some are not very neglected. 3.2 You might want to just work on a pressing i

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