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Frontier of the Year 2025 — Renaissance Philanthropy – A brighter future for all through science, technology, and innovation

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The Frontier in 2025 Frontier of the Year 2025 How did the world change this year? Which results are speculative? Which are biggest, if true? We collected and scored 202 results. Filter by field, our best guess of the probability that they generalise, or their impact if they do. Arb Research & Renaissance Philanthropy SORT Expected Value (Big * P) Big if True - log P(generalises) - linear CATEGORY Everything Biology AI Physics Mathematics Hardware Social Chemistry Astronomy Anti-breakthrough Archaeology Environment Energy Medicine Good P(generalises) × big | true 0.75 × 7.4 = 5.55 Self-driving

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