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Does higher density cause lower birth rates?

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How Western societies conquered drunk driving, first through deterrence, and then by changing social norms. What it takes to create a new material; Why prediction markets have not taken off; New York’s long road to implementing London-style congestion pricing; How Britain experienced housing ‘shrinkflation’ only otherwise seen in the Soviet Union; Why buildings are no longer decorated with ornaments; and How to actually handle gentrification. Notes on Progress are pieces that are a bit too short to run on Works in Progress. In this piece, Sam Watling punctures some of the faulty evidence around density and the baby bust. There is a long-running debate over whether dense urban areas, and dense areas in general, lead to lower birth rates. A recent paper by Amanda Rotella, Michael Varnum, Oliver Sng, and Igor Gorossmanhas attempted to investigate this question by testing whether countries with higher population density have lower fertility. The method they use is, at its core, fairly stra

Notes on Progress Does higher density cause lower birth rates? Assessing one recent claim that it does Samuel Watling May 21, 2024 54 3 Share Works in Progress has a new issue! Check out our articles on: How Western societies conquered drunk driving , first through deterrence, and then by changing social norms. What it takes to create a new material ; Why prediction markets have not taken off ; New York’s long road to implementing London-style congestion pricing ; How Britain experienced housing ‘shrinkflation’ only otherwise seen in the Soviet Union; Why buildings are no longer decorated with

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