How can the US and China prevent a war? | Nouriel Roubini | The Guardian

T he US and China remain on a collision course. The new cold war between them may eventually turn hot over the issue of Taiwan. The “Thucydides trap” – in which a rising power seems destined to clash with an incumbent hegemon – looms ominously. But a serious escalation of Sino-American tensions, let alone a war, can still be avoided, sparing the world the cataclysmic consequences that would inevitably follow. There will always be at least some tensions when a rising power challenges the prevailing global power. But China is facing off against the US at a moment when America’s relative power may be weakening, and when it is committed to preventing its own strategic decline. Both sides are thus becoming increasingly paranoid about the other’s intentions, and confrontation has mostly supplanted healthy competition and cooperation. Both sides are partly to blame. Under Xi Jinping, China has become more authoritarian and moved further toward state capitalism, rather than adhering to Deng Xi

The US Treasury secretary, Janet Yellen, meets the Chinese vice-premier, He Lifeng, in Beijing. Photograph: Mark Schiefelbein/AP View image in fullscreen The US Treasury secretary, Janet Yellen, meets the Chinese vice-premier, He Lifeng, in Beijing. Photograph: Mark Schiefelbein/AP Project Syndicate economists Chinese economy This article is more than 2 years old How can the US and China prevent a war? This article is more than 2 years old Nouriel Roubini The two countries need to pursue policies that will reduce economic tensions and foster cooperation Mon 28 Aug 2023 04.00 EDT Last modified

saved by

• Thanh Nguyễn

related reading

• Vấn đề Đài Loan trong quan hệ Mỹ-Trung và tác động từ xung đột Nga – Ukrainenghiencuuquocte.org
• We Can Only Kick Taiwan Down the Road For So Long – The Scholar's Stagescholars-stage.org
• The China Trap: U.S. Foreign Policy and the Perilous Logic of Zero-Sum Competitionforeignaffairs.com
• Analysis: Why China’s Xi Jinping is not backing down on US-China trade escalation that has no end in sight | CNN Businessedition.cnn.com
• What Does America Want From China? | Foreign Affairsforeignaffairs.com
• Leaderless, Cut Off, and Alone: The Risks to Taiwan in the Wake of Ukrainewarontherocks.com
• China–United States relations - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
• 2025 letter | Dan Wangdanwang.co
• Thucydides Trap - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org
• Taiwan and the True Sources of Deterrence | Foreign Affairsforeignaffairs.com
• The Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis Is Just Startingwarontherocks.com
• China's Favorite American Idea - by Seva Gunitsky - Hegemonhegemon.substack.com