Thoughts on Updatelessness – The Universe from an Intentional Stance
[This post assumes knowledge of decision theory, as discussed in Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Timeless Decision Theory.] One interesting feature of some decision theories that I used to be a bit confused ab…
[This post assumes knowledge of decision theory, as discussed in Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Timeless Decision Theory .] One interesting feature of some decision theories that I used to be a bit confused about is “updatelessness”. A thought experiment suitable for explaining the concept is counterfactual mugging : “ Omega [a being to be assumed a perfect predictor and absolutely trustworthy] appears and says that it has just tossed a fair coin, and given that the coin came up tails, it decided to ask you to give it $100. Whatever you do in this situation, nothing else will happen differently in realit
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