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If anyone builds it, everyone will plausibly be fine - LessWrong 2.0 viewer

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I think AI takeover is plausible. But Eliezer’s argument that it’s more than 98% likely to happen does not stand up to scrutiny, and I’m worried that MIRI’s overconfidence has reduced the credibility of the issue. Here is why I think the core argument in "if anyone builds it, everyone dies" is much weaker than the authors claim.This post was written in a personal capacity. Most of this content has been written-up before by a combination of Paul Christiano, Joe Carlsmith, and others. But to my knowledge, this content has not yet been consolidated into a direct response to MIRI’s core case for alignment difficulty.

If anyone builds it, everyone will plausibly be fine - LessWrong 2.0 viewer If anyone builds it, everyone will plausibly be fine joshc 18 Sep 2025 20:03 UTC LW: 32 AF: 18 24 comments 7 min read LW link IABIED AI I think AI takeover is plausible. But Eliezer’s argument that it’s more than 98% likely to happen does not stand up to scrutiny, and I’m worried that MIRI’s overconfidence has reduced the credibility of the issue. Here is why I think the core argument in “if anyone builds it, everyone dies” is much weaker than the authors claim. This post was written in a personal capacity. Most of thi

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