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What fully automated firms will look like

dwarkesh.com · 2,971 words · saved by 1 readers

Developed in collaboration with Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu. Thanks to Rebecca Hiscott and Gavin Leech for editing and comments. Epistemic status: Shooting-the-shit; 25% sure this roughly describes how firms of AGIs will actually work. Even people who expect human-level AI soon are still seriously underestimating how different the world will look when we have it. Most people are anchoring on how smart they expect individual models to be. (i.e. they’re asking themselves “What would the world be like if everyone had a very smart assistant who could work 24/7?”.) Everyone is sleeping on the collective advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ but rather with the fact that they are digital—they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled, and evolved in ways human simply can’t. What would a fully automated company look like - with all the workers, all the managers as AIs? I claim that such AI firms will grow, coordinate, improve, and be selected-for at unprecedented spe

Blog What fully automated firms will look like Everyone is sleeping on the *collective* advantages AIs will have, which have nothing to do with raw IQ: they can be copied, distilled, merged, scaled, and evolved in ways humans simply can't. Dwarkesh Patel Jan 31, 2025 619 83 95 Share Developed in collaboration with Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu . Thanks to Rebecca Hiscott and Gavin Leech for editing and comments. Epistemic status: Shooting-the-shit; 25% sure this roughly describes how firms of AGIs will actually work. Even people who expect human-level AI soon are still seriously underestimatin

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