Where We Are Headed - by Dean W. Ball - Hyperdimensional

There’s a fundamental problem in AI governance: we don’t know what we are attempting to govern. We know what AI is, at an object level. It’s statistics. It’s “just math.” Of course, an awful lot of things can be reduced to “just math,” so that assertion is not as useful as it may seem. What kind of technology will advanced AI be? What will it feel like to live in a society that has it? You cannot properly formulate AI policy without at least having some intuitions about these questions. Without explaining those intuitions, AI policy becomes a kind of disembodied technocratic sub-field, devoid of any justification or motivation for the measures it proposes. I want you to understand my motivations. To do that, I am going to explain my beliefs about what the near and medium-term future will look like. They are not as “science fiction” as some other people’s visions of the future, but if you play the tape forward a decade or two on the things I say here, I think you’ll see that we will get

There’s a fundamental problem in AI governance: we don’t know what we are attempting to govern. We know what AI is, at an object level. It’s statistics. It’s “just math.” Of course, an awful lot of things can be reduced to “just math,” so that assertion is not as useful as it may seem. What kind of technology will advanced AI be? What will it feel like to live in a society that has it? You cannot properly formulate AI policy without at least having some intuitions about these questions. Without explaining those intuitions, AI policy becomes a kind of disembodied technocratic sub-field, devoid